July 2009 -- Regulations governing broadband networks are being considered. Natural experiments conducted
with respect to “open access” rules yield probative marketplace evidence. Using the metric of
subscribership, policy regimes are compared. Prior to 1Q2003, cable modem service was
unregulated (and has remained so), while digital subscriber lines (DSL) were subject to network
unbundling mandates. Those rules were effectively lifted in 1Q2003 and 3Q2005. Across regimes,
subscriber growth appears significantly and negatively correlated with regulation. By year-end
2006, DSL subscribership was about 65% above the trend established in the regulated pre-1Q2003
era, a difference of eight to ten million households.
A debate is taking place over the optimal economic structure of computer networks. Citing
the dominance of two rival broadband networks in residential markets, net neutrality (NN)
advocates argue that Internet Service Providers (ISPs) will exploit “gatekeeper” positions
to decrease competition in complementary markets, punishing consumers. These
broadband networks are seen to be in a position to extract rents from customers or content
suppliers by blocking (and unblocking) the flow of e-commerce, a variant of the vertical
foreclosure argument (Farrell and Weiser, 2003and Economides, 2007).1
Some see the problem as best dealt with via existing antitrust policies (Kahn, 2007 and
Neuchterlein, 2008), while others advance new remedies. Rules are proposed2 to prevent
broadband ISPs from preferentially supplying improved access to particular applications
(particularly those owned by, or paying, the ISP). Whatever the merits of these policies,
such limits carry costs. The reduced flexibility afforded consumers, ISPs, caching services,
and content providers in contracting for services constrains the range of business models
over which markets may optimize.
Citation
"Natural Experiments in U.S. Broadband Regulation" by Thomas W. Hazlett & Anil Caliskan, Review of Network Economics, Vol. 7, Issue 4 (December 2008), Quick Links: Thomas Hazlett, Anil Caliskan
Related Scholarship
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